Reply to 70 6th grade spots given to OOB at Hardy

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]^^Many, even OOB for Hardy, will choose to go to private schools.[/quote]

Is that just wishful thinking, PP?  Do you have any evidence to support this claim?

I suspect that the kids who can afford private middle school are already at a Hardy feeder (or a Deal feeder), either because they live IB for the feeder or because their parents are savvy enough to lottery into the feeder pattern in elementary school.  In either case, those kids would not have entered the lottery for Hardy.

What elementary schools did the kids who lotteried for Hardy but plan to go to private middle school attend?[/quote]

There are kids outside of WOTP that go to private. Step out of your bubble. [/quote]

Of course there are, PP.  The question I'm asking you is this: What evidence you have that 40 of those kids (or 57) lotteried for 6th grade at Hardy with no intention of going?[/quote]

What evidence do you have that they will attend? Has Hardy ever fumbled this before?[/quote]

Fumble what?  I don't see accepting 80 OOB 6th graders as a fumble.

Projected enrollment is 380, which works out to about 125 kids per grade.  If all 80 OOB kids accept, Hardy needs 45 kids from feeder schools to hit its enrollment target.  In fact, the school probably needs 55 feeder kids because enrollment data from 2013-2014 suggest that this year's 8th grade class is larger than usual -- around 135 kids.

If more than 55 feeder kids enroll, so what?  Hardy can create another section of 6th graders, hire another teacher, and ask DCPS for more money.  The school has plenty of space to grow.

The real risk is under-enrollment.  What would Hardy do if it made just 30 OOB spots available, but had only 60 feeder show up in the fall?  How would the school find 35 to 45 kids willing to switch schools?

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