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[quote=Anonymous]1) Right now universities are falling prey to AI companies and doing things like creating AI agents to teach classes. The value of the type of institutions that go this route will drop. I think it likely second tier RI universities like George Mason go in this direction and see interest fall.

2) The ROI will not be the same as it has in the past. College degree will not equal quick job in your field so students who went to college for that will no longer go. States may decrease funding more because states have bought into the idea that universities create jobs/economic growth, and that is broken. The era of regional state universities is over. Which is  very sad. Democracy and social mobility began here (we weren't a democracy before the voting rights act).

3) Kids who really want to learn - my kid is more interested in learning about engineering than in getting an engineering job - will still go to college. And parents who value giving their kids a nice thing - 4 year long summer camp experience - or who themselves value learning for learnings sake will send their kids.  Also ones who see it as a status symbol.

So the biggest losers will be second tier sate universities and regional state universities.  Add this to the already losers - small, tuition driven nonprofit private universities. Right now I think 60%+ of high school graduates go to college (70% in 2009). It wasn't that long ago that it was 50% (90s). I think the US will hit a floor of about 30. But a lot of bullshit preprofessional programs will go away.

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