Reply to Lottery Nerd - Waitlist predictions

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]for 5th:
Hearst - 29
Janney - 32
Murch - 31
Shepherd - 34
Basis - 114
Latins - 290ish
eaton - 11
HA - 22
Stoddert - 13
Mann - 9
John Francis - 18[/quote]

LN here:

It's not your year, sorry to say. There are only two you have a shot at:

eaton - 11 - You have some chance here. You wouldn't have gotten in last year, but you would have the two previous years. Not the two years before that either. So maybe a 40% shot?

John Francis - 18 - You have some chance here as well. You theoretically would have gotten in two of the past five years, but especially in a PK3-8 school, your number will probably take a hit as people gain sibling preference, and your number is right on the bubble. So I'd guess less than 40% - Maybe 25-30%? And very likely after school starts.

You should anticipate staying where you are. [/quote]

I think John-Francis will likely take fewer students for 5th than they have historically since they are now the temporary feeder for three additional elementary schools.[/quote]

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