Reply to TJHSST 2025-26 Enrollment by FCPS Pyramid

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Hardly.  T20 admits from the top TJ feeders are far more common than from the bottom schools.  [/quote]

You need to adjust for the student/parent level as well. If a student who performed at the same level in these lower ranked schools, the student's chances are much higher compared to applying from TJ feeders. [/quote]

That’s a big if.  Students from the top pyramids end up performing better than they otherwise have because they’ve been with stronger peer groups. It’s why they get into both TJ and T20 schools in much higher numbers.[/quote]

There is certainly truth to what you are saying and it does have an impact.

There is also a huge selection bias. The most tigerish parents choose Haycock/Longfellow/McLean and it goes down a little each pyramid down.

The Haycock/Longfellow/McLean parent/child combo if some reason end up at a lower/less performing school pyramid, they are going to perform at the same level. Compared to the peer group, they would shine brighter, the recommendation letters are going to be much more glowing, leadership opportunities easier, academic stress lower leading to more spectacular EC's.

[/quote]

These kids aren’t going to perform at the same level without having equally strong peer groups.

If what you are claiming was true families would save money and work the system so their kids could shine at Whitman, Key, or Poe.

They know they’ll have better outcomes coming from Longfellow, Carson, Rocky Run, Cooper, or Kilmer.  These “tigerish” parents aren’t stupid. 
[/quote]

The students do get pulled in due to the peer group, but that is only for the say top third or so of the students. Take Science Olympiad, if you to to Longfellow, you get an immense well oiled support system + deep knowledge of each event + coaches who are trained and pass on the knowledge to next group, practice sessions drilled into the plan, etc. Any student who is able to get into the program, does not matter who, will do well, just like you suggest. The students who want to but cannot qualify miss out on this opportunity. Same with Mathcounts and so on.

So the top kids do get a benefit. Most parents (as we all do) expect our kid to also be in that top cohort. But if they are not, it is a disadvantage.

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Meh. This is like the academic equivalent of arguing you should send your kid to Lewis because it’s easier to make the team that won’t win any games. [/quote]

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