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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Yes and no. Yes there is a reduction in the number of 18 year olds but other factors make competition worse. 
. . .

1. The trend toward using proxy geographic zip code, parent education and low ranking school to hit racial and socioeconomic diversity means that for your particular demographic and location there are fewer seats available. Your kid may have a 1% chance while another kid may have a 60% chance. 
2. Increase in international admits paying higher fees as reduced supply. 
3. Need to pivot toward full pay students while protecting yield means more seats will be given to ED students.

[/quote]

This is true, particularly since:

1) the S.Ct decision in Students for Fair Admissions v. Harvard means universities cannot lawfully use a student’s race as a factor, but they are allowed to use a “proxy” for race to achieve diversity goals, by looking at the racial makeup of the students’ high school, and

2) full-tuition US-based students are increasingly crucial to universities with the threat of impediments to enrollment of international students (who are full-pay). [/quote]

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