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Reply to "My issue with stock market bubble fears"
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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Market rise and fall. If you are in the market for the long-term, even a big crash isn’t gonna kill you. That’s what I don’t understand. Everyone talks about the market crashing, but if it’s crashing from being so high, and you’ve been in it for a long time then you’re still always gonna come out ahead. So what’s the problem?[/quote] You don't think history will ever repeat. Stock market took until 1954 to return to 1929 levels. Stock market declined 80% from 1967 until 1976 and didn't return to 1967 levels until 1982. If you were 65 in 1967 with no pension...life sucked probably for the remainder of your days and you were likely dead before 1982. [/quote] This is a very misleading statement. You omitted dividends and a deflationary state that lasted for several years. So your numbers aren't even close. [/quote] Huh? The period from 1967 to 1982 was some of the highest inflation this country has ever seen. The period from 1929 through 1940 was massively deflationary, with massive unemployment and paltry dividends. Still, it took WWII and then another 9 years after WWII (all inflationary periods). What does it even mean "your numbers aren't even close"? I literally provided the facts of what the market did during those time periods.[/quote] Yeah, people think it’s more palatable to try to explain it away. [/quote]
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