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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]The macro birth rate trends are not what will make a difference in college admissions year to year; it’s meaningless that 2008 birth rates are slightly lower than peak 2007 birth rates.

The things that will affect admissions this year are things like:

economic precarity (it’s bad and getting worse, and the vibes are terrible, which will affect who applies and where)

international student issues (challenges of getting a visa, as well as reduced attractiveness of studying in the US)

fed funding cuts to research universities (they need revenue and will almost certainly favor full-pay students)

fed funding cuts to minority-serving institutions (which include most universities in California, for example, and will have far-ranging impact on university operations/capacity)

likely retractions/closures among smaller, regional schools that were already barely hanging on (meaning fewer total student slots)[/quote]

Also unemployment. Applications go up when jobs are scarce. [/quote]

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