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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Again, all the ranking app care about is if a team scores more of less than the expected outcome.

If you were looking at this from a gambling perspective the ranking app is a baseline only. Things like which team is traveling, sick, hurt, etc aren't accounted for (before the game). After the game things like traveling, sick, hurt, etc would play a role in number of goals scored. Which would lower/increase the teams ranking and change the expected outcome.[/quote]

and guess what? the things you mentioned fall into the randomness part. And yet, the top team still wins at a high frequency probably above the randomness component.

Is it perfect? - hell no and it shouldn't be. It gives you a REALLY GOOD IDEA of a team's level especially when considered over the course of a season. [/quote]
If a team wins a lot their expected outcome will be very high. Basically the more you win the harder it is to go up in ranking because you'll be playing against teams that also consistently win. Which means your games will end in the expected outcome more often than not.

To go up in ranking what you want is to play against a team that's hot and cold and cautch them with a blow out when they first start going down.

One of the big issues with the ranking app is it forces really good teams that are playing really bad teams to blow them out to hit the expected number of goals. Usually when coaches get up by 5 goals coaches are expected to play the bench. But with the ranking app if they do this it potentially hurts their ranking.[/quote]

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