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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Again, all the ranking app care about is if a team scores more of less than the expected outcome. If you were looking at this from a gambling perspective the ranking app is a baseline only. Things like which team is traveling, sick, hurt, etc aren't accounted for (before the game). After the game things like traveling, sick, hurt, etc would play a role in number of goals scored. Which would lower/increase the teams ranking and change the expected outcome.[/quote] and guess what? the things you mentioned fall into the randomness part. And yet, the top team still wins at a high frequency probably above the randomness component. Is it perfect? - hell no and it shouldn't be. It gives you a REALLY GOOD IDEA of a team's level especially when considered over the course of a season. [/quote]
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