Reply to What happened to Navy Yard?

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]
Inclusionary boning does result in more crime (than purely market rate development) statistically speaking. The correlation between crime rates and income is very strong. So a higher proportion of low income residents means more crime on average. The counterfactual scenario where all of the new development units were expensive would mean slightly lower crime in Navy Yard. [/quote]

The per capita percentage of poor people in SW and Near SE is at its lowest point in 50 years. So how could "inclusionary boning" be responsible for high crime in the neighborhood?[/quote]

IZ increases crime relative to only market rate development because it results in more low income residents (in comparison to only market rate). I did not say it was the primary contributing factors, but it definitely doesn't help the crime rates. DC providing free/discounted metro passed for low income people and the income composition of nearby neighborhoods are likely the significant causal factors. [/quote]

You are an idiot. You really think discounted metro cards for poor people are "significant causal factors" to high crime in the neighborhood?  :lol:  :lol:  :lol:  :lol:

Thanks for the laugh.[/quote]

This may not be politically correct to say, but statistically speaking it is true. The violent crime rate for teens whose families are in the bottom 20% of the income distribution is more than 6x that of teens whose families are in the top 20% of the income distribution. Providing free or discounted metro passes (to low-income teens) will not necessarily have a significant impact on the total crime rate. However, it will have an impact on the geographic distribution of crime and redistribute some of it to more affluent areas that are accessible with public transportation.
https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC4180846/[/quote]

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