Reply to China Suspends Export of Critical Rare Earth Minerals

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]I think he went for nuclear option really fast.
I thought he was going to use rare earth minerals and antibiotics as last resort.[/quote]

Last resort is China selling off their share of our debt and cratering our bond market.

China has banned rare earth metals and tech before - last december, they banned germanium and gallium because of biden restricted their access to some American tech. However, it seems like the US was able to get the materials from China through 3rd party traders. They have banned exports at other times in the 2000's, including one incident when they stopped exporting to Japan.

This isn't like an ace from the sleeve, more like a noose that they have been tightening for 20-30 years. I wrote before that China controls 80% of processing, but I was wrong - they control 87% of processing. Banning exports to the US as they did in 2024, is not the same as what they are doing today - banning all exports. China was ok with the US getting metals through backdoor channels after the 2024 ban, but pausing all exports until they come up with new regulations could mean they are scrutinizing each export to make sure it doesn't make its way to the US. Aside from ev's, this is not good for the US military. Drones, missiles, aircraft, robots all use these metals.[/quote]

China owns less than 10% of all outstanding US debt.  Japan owns more US debt than them.  The lions share of our debt is owned by  Americans and American institutions.  China won't hurt the US that much that way.

China will be multiple fold hurt more than the US if all trade stops.  They export way more than they buy of our stuff. [/quote]

China is going all over the world to expand its market.
In the short term US is going to suffer more than China because our only supplier in a lot of critical sectors like antibiotics is China.[/quote]

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