Reply to What was your high-stats, unhooked, ED strategy in 2024 or will it be in 2025?

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Only ED if it is your DC’s absolute first choice. [/quote]
This is increasingly bad advice. Never ED to a school that you have almost no shot of getting into; that wastes your ED card.

Duke? The majority of non-hooked applicants have a 0% chance of admission, ED or not. This is true for most top schools. A very small minority of non-hooked kids have a much greater chance, whether it is 10, 20, or 30%. If you cannot say with confidence why your kid is in that small minority, you are not buying a lottery ticket (where anyone could win) but throwing away your kid’s chances of getting into a school ED which is the next tier or two down.[/quote]

This is the key: for Duke and other T10, is your unhooked student of the level that has the 40-50% chance in ED or 20-30% chance in RD?  Those that see lots of apps and have some inside knowledge at the HS or college level know that it is not random. Those kids with the “outlier” chances are actual outliers. They stand out at their HS and in their region—in every way. [/quote]

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