Reply to Trump wins over Biden in NBC poll for the first time, as president’s approval craters to new low

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Someone didn't learn from 2016 polls that polls are not always accurate.

Polls have also shown that the incumbent POTUS can be behind and still win.

https://www.nytimes.com/2023/11/16/us/politics/biden-trump-election-presidents-polling.html[/quote]

For the incumbent president to lose, you’d need a *major* economic, foreign policy or domestic crisis.  And probably a combination of at least two.  GDP is strong, the unemployment rate is low and inflation is trending downward.  Nobody has to wear masks at the grocery store any more.  And say what you will about Ukraine and Israel, but not one American soldier has died in those conflicts.  From that vantage point, Biden is going to be very hard to beat.[/quote]

Cough cough Bush the Elder cough cough.

And he wasn't as unpopular or hated as Biden was. And far more popular than Biden was at his peak.

As it is, I'm amused at younger voter's disapproval of Biden over Israel and Gaza. What are they going to do? Turn to Turnip? Who is staunchly pro Israel.

[/quote]

Donald Trump is no Bill Clinton [/quote]

Donald Trump is a much more popular politician than Bill Clinton. He’s involved in countless criminal trials, vilified by the press, and is beating Biden consistently in the polls. Bill Clinton was fawned over by the press and didn’t have these kinds of legal issues.

These national polls don’t matter as much as the polls that should really worry Dems. Look at the polls showing Trump up by double digits in some of the swing states like Arizona and Michigan. Trump is going to win back a lot of the Rust Belt states Biden won and win Nevada and Arizona as well. [/quote]

With the 6 voters per state he has managed to attract since 2020?  Ok.[/quote]

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