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[quote=Anonymous][quote=jsteele]This is somewhat separate from the shutdown thread. But it is worth discussing the resolution of the shutdown threat. At one point, the Republicans had advanced a continuing resolution that was much more favorable to Republican priorities. Hardline Republicans defeated that resolution. Speaker of the House McCarthy's response was not to appease them further, but rather to cut a deal with Democrats. Every Democrat but one voted in favor of the resolution while over half of the Republicans voted against it. The resolution met all Democratic demands other than funding for Ukraine, but Congressman Matt Gaetz claims that McCarthy has agreed to vote on that funding separately. A standalone bill will very likely pass easily. Gaetz how promises to introduce a motion to remove McCarthy this week. It is unlikely McCarthy can win that vote without Democratic support. This sets up the following scenarios:

1) McCarthy miraculously survives with Republican votes. There are reports that large number of Republicans members are tired of Gaetz's antics and that he might even be kicked out of Congress due to an ethics investigation. So, it's possible that McCarthy comes down on Gaetz sufficiently strong enough to get other hardliners to fall into line.

2) McCarthy is defeated but Republicans can't agree on a replacement. It took 15 votes for McCarthy to get approved in the first place. How many votes would an alternative take?

3) McCarthy survives with Democratic votes. In this case, McCathy will be beholden to Democrats from here on out.

4) Unlikely, but my dream scenario. McCarthy is defeated, but while attempting to approve a replacement, Republican's engage in infighting which goes on for weeks and makes them look foolish and crazy. As a result, a handful of moderate Republicans get fed up with the entire circus and agree to vote for Hakim Jeffries who then becomes the next Speaker of the House.

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Remember. ",The devil you know..." this is why Dems will vote for McCarthy and Nevin lives to fight another day.  However, Gaetz is not the only one who hates McCarthy.

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