Reply to when will jury notices go out for trump march 2024 trial?

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Did he choose a jury? Seems liek a gamble if the jury pool is DC residents.[/quote]

Oh, interesting!  I hadn't considered that he'd ask for a bench trial . . . normally defendants prefer a jury trial.[/quote]

There is no way in hell he would choose a bench trial with this judge.  
I'm putting in my prediction now.  Hung jury.  [/quote]

In DC? Not a chance.

The evidence against him is overwhelming and only like 5% of DC voted for Trump. Plus a significant number of that 5% really just voted Republican, not Trump - they may be selfishly vested in cutting taxes for the rich and gutting government services, but they're not in the Trump cult.

The odds that a juror makes it onto the case who is not only a Trump voter but also a Trump cultist is extremely low. [/quote]

12 jurors.

5% Trump fans: 1-.95^12 = 46%
1% Trump fans: 1-.99^12 =  11%[/quote]

That's assuming jury selection is completely random. I'm not sure how many peremptory challenges the prosecution gets in DC federal court, but if it's anywhere close to 5% of the jury pool that's basically game over right there. If they get challenges beyond the peremptory ones I imagine some significant portion of that 5% works in GOP politics or are big GOP donors and could have good reason to be disqualified.

Plus military, police, and firefighters, which skew disproportionately Republican, are all exempt from jury service. Political appointees as well, though I doubt there are enough Republican appointees right now to make a difference.  [/quote]

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