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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Here's an example. United 989 from IAD-FRA departing at 5:20pm today. There are 60 business class seats. 59 have been booked, so that leaves 1 open seat and someone got upgraded. There are 24 on the upgrade list.

Maybe 1-2 people who are already booked in business class will not show up -- changed plans, missed connections, etc, freeing up those seats. But if you're even #10 on the upgarde list, you're not getting upgraded.

You can see this on United's site -pclick on Flight status and enter flight 989.

And now for a fun one. IAD-SFO is full of elite flyers. Even the 12:30pm (flight 1742) which isn't that busy since it's a mid-day flight, has an upgrade list of 36 people, and there are only 20 seats, all fully booked. The 8am fligth (flight 700) is even worse -- 63 people on the upgrade list, and 0 got an upgrade.
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Thank you for going into the detail.  Reality is that someone even United Gold and below has almost zero chance of getting a mileage upgrade on these flights.  So that people understand the dynamic.[/quote]

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