Reply to TX Migrant Buses Prevented 2022 DC Pop. Decline

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Curious, OP.

"why so many people are moving away. " -- if people move away because there are so many "migrants", then why is TX the fastest growing state in the country? Why do so many real Americans move to TX even as they are being flooded with "migrants", and there is purportedly open borders there?

There's some dichotomy there.[/quote]
Population growth is good and it’s good to live somewhere the population is growing. Without these TX migrants, DC would be in real trouble like other blue states and particularly “superstar cities” that have seem population declines starting a few years ago that accelerated with COVID.

Why DC refuses to embrace it, I don’t know but suspect that accepting these migrants runs contrary to their economic development strategy of creating a rich enclave. [/quote]
Which "blue city" is in trouble, and what kind of trouble, due to population declining?

Bay Area housing prices is still leagues above anywhere in TX, FL or DC.

But, as stated earlier, most of those migrants have friends/relatives elsewhere. That's where they are headed.  Some will stay in DC.  But TX still has way more illegal immigrant population per capita than DC, and  yet, real Americans still seem to be flocking to TX.  So, it appears that TX is still doing well with all them illegals and an open border.[/quote]
What does housing prices have to do with anything?

Population growth is good. Population decline is bad.

Agree or disagree?[/quote]
agree?

But you stated...

"DC would be in real trouble like other blue states and particularly “superstar cities” that have seem population declines starting a few years ago that accelerated with COVID."

I asked, what  "blue states and particularly “superstar cities” that have seem population declines starting a few years ago that accelerated with COVID" you are referring to? And what kind of "trouble" do you mean?[/quote]
Through July 2022, largest state population losses are:

NY: -200k
CA: -120k
IL: -100k

These are on top of population declines for all 3 states in 2020 and 2021.

We don’t have the 2022 MSA estimates yet, but through 2021 most large cities in these states lost population from a pre-COVID baseline. That would include Chicago, NYC, SF and LA.
 
Over the last 2 decades, population and economic growth centered on these “superstar cities” has driven growth in those states and the country. Declining population in those cities reversed this trend. It weakens their economies and it means that if their economies are to grow they will need marginal productivity gains that will outpace the economic losses from population decline. Very few places in the world in history have been able to pull this off.

A change is certainly afoot, but how much no one knows. It could signify just economic stagnation in these states/cities or even actual economic decline. That will depend on specific circumstances.

[/quote]

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