Reply to MCPS Covid Data Updated Daily (in a single thread)

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]You posted that there are 245 new student infections and 33 new staff infections reported today (meaning 278 total) and that brings today’s 10-day total to 278 more than yesterday’s. That implies there were 0 cases on April 30, the day that just rolled off the 10-day total. Is that right, or is your spreadsheet in error?[/quote]

It's in context of the Cumulative Total.  MCPS is very deceptive in its reporting, so it's necessary to break down exactly how they're cooking the books.

5/10 reported 245 new student infections and 33 new staff infections (+278 cases); with a total of 2041 infections within a window of the past 10 days.

5/9, reported 316 new student infections and 58 new staff infections (+374 cases); with a total of 1763 infections within a window of the past 10 days.

This means that although +652 new cases were added in just two days, only a delta of 278 was reflected in the 10-day count.  Why?  374 cases rolled off of the 10-day window.  [b]MCPS appears to have hidden the history of reported infections by day and used a 10-day window to obfuscate analysis of the true % of the school that was infected within a given month.[/b]

This is consistent with what happened in January, when 9% of the student body and over 2100 staff members were infected.  One can only speculate why the Central Office and Board of Education are doing this (ex. this time they wish to hide the information from the public?).[/quote]

Why is a "given month" interval more relevant than a 10-day interval?[/quote]

To be accurate, case reporting should be as it was prior to March 1.  Reporting should be by school, and daily.  January just happened to coincide with winter break, so it was possible to follow the curve through January and smaller spike in February.

The Central Office should be able to use that information to predict spikes and [b]switch individual schools to 5d virtual or 10d hybrid modes[/b] to protect teachers, bus drivers, and children.[/quote]

That's not a thing. [/quote]

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