Reply to FCPS Teacher Assignment and Class Schedules

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote]Did anyone hear whether the DL kids will be separated from the hybrid kids in class assignments? Is there any chance that the DL kids will still be placed in larger classrooms with teachers from other schools?[/quote]

They will not be separated per Rachna Sizemore's town hall the other night. [/quote]

Our principle told us that classes were being split based on hybrid v DL selection. He said they’re doing it this way so it’ll be easier to transition to hybrid, if conditions allow. I think it’s funny that they’re still keeping up appearances that we might go in person at any point this year. [/quote]

It's going to be even funnier to see your reaction when it happens.[/quote]

I chose hybrid, I’ll be thrilled! I just don’t think it’s going to happen. [/quote]

Reading on this forum made me feel as though schools wouldn't open until fall 2021. But then, today, I heard that NY is allowing schools to reopen. And I see the graphs on the VDH site looking good for NoVA. https://www.vdh.virginia.gov/coronavirus/covid-19-daily-dashboard/

It give me hope that we won't be ruled by fear forever. I am hopeful that on 8/15 Brabrand will have a plan to get the most vulnerable kids back in classrooms this fall.[/quote]

It is getting painful to explain this over and again.  I know everyone likes pretty pictures, but give a little attention to the words on the chart.  The chart you are using to support your optimism does not show what you think it shows.

Note the title of the chart:  cases by date of symptom onset.  This type of chart WILL ALWAYS SHOW A DECLINE ON THE RIGHT.  It declines becsuse it takes time for people to realize they have symptoms,  to get a test, and to get the results.   Since the right-most side of the chart is today, you would expect very few people who had symptom onset TODAY to show up with a positive test result TODAY.  The same would be true for yesterday.

The chart that shows you trends in cases will be called:  CASES BY DATE REPORTED.

Thst chart is NOT showing a downward trend or even a stable trend.   It is showing an increase.  In NOVA, we used to average about 165 cases per day.  We are now at a 7-day average of 230 cases per day.

For VA as a whole, we used to average 550 cases per day, now we are now at a 7 day average of 1100+ cases per day.  That is NOT "good news."  We used to have about 800 hospitalized patients on any day.  Now we have about 1275 patients every day (total, not new).  Today, we have 1372.

I'm not trying to be a downer.  I want my kids in school even for hybrid.  The change to all virtual was NOT made based on worsening numbers because the numbers WEREN'T worsening when they changed course back on July 21.  They are using Aug. numbers now to support a decision they made on July 21.

But, there is reason for concern statewide.  Northm and Mr Rodgers (Dr. Oliver) need to drop the calm, hands off routine and get more serious about this.

The spread is happening...like the frog who boils to death in the slowly warming pot of water.

Start educating yourself by understanding the charts.[/quote]

If only you could read graphs as well as you type.[/quote]

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