Reply to Tips for daycare/camp young kids not catching/bringing home covid19

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]FWIW my kid’s daycare never closed, has been following the CDC guidelines, and hasn’t had any cases of COVID.

I think like we have seen in other countries the risk is pretty low.[/quote]

FWIW, this sort of anecdata is not worth much.[/quote]

It's that just anecdotal at this point.  Yes, there's been some COVID cases at daycares that have remained open (or that reopened), but there haven't been any reports of major outbreaks in US daycares.  The only thing I see is one outbreak within Canada.

So the available data does seem to suggest that risk of spread within daycares/camps is relatively low.  Not zero, but low.[/quote]

Exactly, we'll be able to assess the risk once we see lots of single infections at daycares; if there is no outbreak that is great.[/quote]

Again, [b]it may just mean nobody brought Covid to daycare, not that someone brought it but it didn't spread, which are two different things.[/b] [/quote]

Correct, and the reason is no one brought it to the daycare is that we had a stay-at-home order!

You need to understand that schools and daycares will accelerate the viral spread gradually as states open. 
You might not even notice a cluster, if all the families connected to the daycare are young and in good health, with no grandparents around, and no one is testing mild symptoms. 
What you'll notice is a rise in cases, hospitalizations and deaths in your general area. 
The only rapidly identifiable clusters are in nursing homes, because when these people catch the virus, most need medical assistance and some die. The need for medical treatment is the driver of testing and contact tracing in our society that has refused to test systematically.

So all of you people congratulating themselves that Covid-19 is less dangerous than previously thought based on these past few months are wrong. The correct conclusion is that we managed to slow viral spread by physical distancing.

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