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Metropolitan DC Local Politics
Reply to "Maryland is in Phase 2 starting 5pm on Friday"
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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]The dashboard doesn't show the true trends as I don't know any real data scientists that use 3 day averages especially with data issues with weekends / 3 day weekends. The actual trend over time is far greater than what they are showing using simplistic measures. You will note that Hogan team marks the trends differently and also shows the steep decreases from mid April. It also bothers me that Moco has never been transparent on the amount of deaths related to nursing homes. The top 7 worst Moco nursing homes account for approx 24% of deaths with 20-30+ cases each totaling 169 deaths. Nursing homes account for 64% of the Moco deaths and each week account for a large part of the deaths . I hope - based on what Hogan said - we have addressed better with PPE, universal testing, professional staff backup, etc - but who knows. I have found nothing of this on the Moco site - but Maryland gov releases the data each wednesday. I can't comment on testing capacity like others have commented. [/quote] Yep. I’ve kept track of the percentage of new deaths each week in MoCo are from nursing home residents, as the county and state won’t report it that way (but you can easily derive it). Here it is: May 5-12: 90% May 13-20: 48% May 21-27: 74% May 28-June 3: 67% So a significant percentage each time and no indication that it’s improving. Like you said, 64% of MoCo’s COVID deaths are among nursing home residents. Elrich hasn’t said ONE thing about it, and yet claims to care about the well-being of his constituents. [/quote] It’s going to be a long tail to the impacts of the nursing home mistakes early on (and still there?) by Moco work it’s way out. There should be a spotlight on this issue but there is no data on the Moco site only the Maryland site. And with 99,100 people in Moco filing for unemployment since March and many people who don’t have official jobs - but lost work (day laborers etc). This is really disgraceful. Our Moco at risk groups and poor are really suffering. [/quote]
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