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Reply to "How Likely Is Soccer in the Fall ? (with Games!)"
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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Considering clubs are discussing fall teams and some sending out offers, how likely is fall soccer with games? Are we paying for more zoom or techne to ultimately lose another refund? Our tennis club emailed that Hogan listed tennis in phase 1. Where is soccer listed in the phases? I found the plan but could not find those details. [/quote] you Very! Count on it. [/quote]actually, not likely at all. Track soccer with full return of school. When the hallways of school can fill up again at full capacity, you will see youth soccer back in play![/quote] Actually, it’s likely by June 15th at the latest in Maryland. Youthsports sports will be considered Stage II in Maryland. If stage 1 goes well, you can expect Stage 2 about three weeks later. I am speaking for Maryland. I predict Hogan will start Stage 1 by the end of this coming week.[/quote]LOL, haha just keep your head buried in the sand.[/quote] NP - Have you been listening to Hogan’s weekly press conferences and reading his reports. [b]Go to conference this week and listen to him answer the reporters questions. A few in, you will hear what they are looking at opening up and he will address next week. Look at the numbers and see the trends - over time on key metrics He is looking at and also his response. [/b][/quote] This was helpful. I was doubtful until this. Not a confirmation but he seems hopeful. Thanks. [/quote] Your welcome. FYI if you go to https://coronavirus.maryland.gov/ you can see key stats daily and trend graphs on key metrics for opening. You will see that the key metrics, deaths, hospitalizations, ICU has been decreasing for the past few days. Data is a bit irregular on weekends - but hope this continues for the sake of everyone. Also per the press conference, he is not looking for a complete straight line but overall trend - that is very common in data science fields. His hyper focus on nursing home population which had accounted for 50 percent of the deaths is also helpful. [/quote] We are long way from meeting the metrics for reopening based on these stats. For Maryland, there are 989 new cases in the last 24 hours and only 76 released from isolation (recovered) during the same period. This means that the number of sick people has increased by more than 900 people. [/quote] Youre looking at the wrong metrics. New cases will always keep increasing as we're testing more ppl now. Focus is on covid hospital admissions, icu admissions' and deaths. And he's not looking for a consistent decrease- his press conference said just a plateau for unspecified amount of time. [/quote] Events will overtake statistics in both directions. National and state lockdowns occurred without rationale or specific criteria for ending. Reopening will occur along the same lines. People speak as if there is a choice when it comes to the lockdown. At some point, the absence of any plausible mechanism for subsidizing a global or even national shutdown without knowing or whether or when we will have full proof and widely available vaccine will make reopening inevitable. Plus, people will just leave their houses en masse. I am not making a judgment about whether this is right. It is simply inevitable. And if you don’t think so, explain the funding mechanisms for federal state and loc governments that would make prolonged lockdown feasible? Economics and human behavior will Drive this whether you want it do so or not. [/quote] There is difference in leaving the isolation to provide for your family or purchase groceries (necessary risk) and leaving the house to participate in a sporting event such as youth soccer (unnecessary risk). Reopening the economy is not the same as reopening youth soccer. [/quote]
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