Reply to When will Northern Virginia hit its peak?

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]I think most projections are showing sometime between mid-April to mid-May. By June, the warm [b]weather[/b] should help contain the spread... for now. [/quote]

Really? Is this evidence based?[/quote]
Coronaviruses are cold viruses they generally do the most damage in cold weather. Look at the SARS pandemic. I’m not saying it WILL die down, but from what we know about coronaviruses, it should.

[img]https://www.who.int/csr/sars/epicurve/en/worldwide2003_7_13.jpg[/img][/quote]

So how do you account for the way this covid 19 has spread in the Southern Hemisphere? Or how well it’s spreading in the southern U.S.? It’s in the 70s-80s throughout Louisiana and Georgia right now where this is currently spreading like wildfire.

[/quote]

I have seen this diagram discussed on other forums and so far the COVID-19 is mirroring exactly the SARS progress. So far - which doesn't mean it will always be that case.

[/quote]

That is reassuring I guess but still didn’t answer my question. If some of the hard hit areas of the world are basically experiencing summer weather right now but the virus is projected to go away in summer something doesn’t add up?[/quote]

Yep it’s just people hoping and wishing or what people call happy talk. Given the evidence it will not slow during the summer months. It’s spreading in tropical countries. Also in China there is a 10-30% re-infection rate. Virginia should have a higher curve because the state did not shut down quickly and many people are not taking social distancing seriously(go look at the Arlington social distancing thread). [/quote]
Please cite your 10-30% reinfection rate data. I watched an interview with Dr Fauci less than a week ago, and he still seems to believe the risk of reinfection is very low. He’s just not certain on how long immunity lasts. [/quote]

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