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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]I think most projections are showing sometime between mid-April to mid-May. By June, the warm [b]weather[/b] should help contain the spread... for now. [/quote]

Really? Is this evidence based?[/quote]
Coronaviruses are cold viruses they generally do the most damage in cold weather. Look at the SARS pandemic. I’m not saying it WILL die down, but from what we know about coronaviruses, it should.

[img]https://www.who.int/csr/sars/epicurve/en/worldwide2003_7_13.jpg[/img][/quote]

So how do you account for the way this covid 19 has spread in the Southern Hemisphere? Or how well it’s spreading in the southern U.S.? It’s in the 70s-80s throughout Louisiana and Georgia right now where this is currently spreading like wildfire.

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I have seen this diagram discussed on other forums and so far the COVID-19 is mirroring exactly the SARS progress. So far - which doesn't mean it will always be that case.

[/quote]

That is reassuring I guess but still didn’t answer my question. If some of the hard hit areas of the world are basically experiencing summer weather right now but the virus is projected to go away in summer something doesn’t add up?[/quote]

It is all relative speaking. The hotter countries don't have the virus numbers as the colder countries. It's never a case that viruses don't spread in hot countries at all. But heat does seem to hinder the growth rate. It could be that the hot states in the US are mainly being infected by transplants from cold states (Florida is blaming it on refugees from New York). It's too soon to make sweeping declarations one way or another. [/quote]

They should have about a gazillion cases in India with their high population, lack of sanitation, poverty, and urban population density. An article I found dated yesterday said they had 1,024 cases and 27 deaths. The problem is it’s not warm enough long enough in much of the US to make a difference. You need a truly tropical climate. [/quote]

You are talking about confirmed cases in India. We all know that the US stats about confirmed cases is the tip of the iceberg and it's even worse in India in terms of stats. They have no capacity to test. People are dying at home from pneumonia, uncounted. It is going to be a disaster in India.

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-03-29/pessimistic-indian-doctors-brace-for-tsunami-of-virus-cases[/quote]

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