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Reply to "Earthquake season in Cali?"
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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]I am a seismologist. 1) there is no such thing as earthquake season or earthquake weather. 2) For any earthquake, statistically, the aftershock sequence has about a 1/10 chance of having an event larger than the "main shock". In that case, the "main shock" is considered a foreshock. It is just nomenclature. The quoted article which interviews Lucy Jones incorrectly refers to her as one of the worlds leading seismologist. [b]She is the best at relaying the hazards to the public, which is critical, but as a researcher, she is not among the best.[/b][/quote] So you disagree with her thesis that the LA area is due for a M8+ on a 100-200 year cycle? And we're due for one now? Because the last one in California (a 8.7) happened in 1700?[/quote] The last major rupture on the San Andreas fault was in 1857 -- the Fort Tejon earthquake. The 1700 earthquake was the last Cascadia earthquake (Eureka to Seattle). Lucy is accurately assessing the hazard. Though I might say 200-300 years.[/quote]
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