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[quote=Anonymous]First I would say that the 75% figure for kids not being on the team senior year is real for significantly less academically competitive schools, but not true for the kinds of schools that this appears to be.  Christopher Newport will bring in 60 freshman football players, but Johns Hopkins or Chicago closer to 25.  Most of the truly top D3 teams fill their rosters in this manner.

So, assume he turns it down, and doesn't get the Ivy offer, then is turned down RD.  What is his next choice?  If he's good enough for the school in question he's likely good enough for a lot of D3 programs.  Most of D3 recruiting takes place after the season and during the ED2 period for a lot of schools.  If your school has an ED2 period they will be busy right up to that deadline.

If it's a NESCAC school the big drawback is that they don't compete in the NCAA D3 playoffs.  They now play 9 games but only against each other.  They sound like the type of school you're talking about.  Just like the Ivy schools don't participate in the FCS playoffs the NESCACs pass on the national title at D3.

If he likes the school a lot more than other D3 options then he should take the offer.  If not you roll the dice on the Ivy and see what happens once the season ends.  Personally I would probably take the bird in the hand.

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