Reply to could West Potomac become a Marshall in 10 years?

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Reply to "could West Potomac become a Marshall in 10 years?"

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Isn't Marshall a wealthy school just like all of the other fcps high schools minus the Lee/Stewart/Mt. Vernon type schools?

This is a very affluent area and almost all of the high schools are overflowing with upper middle class kids.[/quote]

FARMS Percentages at FCPS High Schools (Virginia DOE stats for October 2016)/# of $1.0 million property sales over past 12 months.

Langley 1.4 (350)
TJHSST 1.8 (n/a)
McLean 8.5 (267) 
Madison 9.2 (169)
Robinson 9.2 (30) 
West Springfield 10.8 (0) 
Woodson 10.9 (17) 
Oakton 11.7 (88) 
Lake Braddock 13.8 (12) 
South County 16.7 (17) 
Chantilly 17.1 (6) 
Marshall 17.3 (103) 
Westfield 22.9 (10) 
Fairfax 23.3 (17) 
Centreville 24.2 (11) 
South Lakes 27.9 (34) 
Hayfield 28.3 (0) 
Edison 34.4 (0)
Herndon 38.1 (8) 
West Potomac 38.6 (32)
Falls Church 49.6 (8) 
Mount Vernon 50.5 (12) 
Lee 52.6 (0) 
Annandale 53.7 (6) 
Stuart 59.1 (20)

Langley and TJ are the outliers in terms of almost no poverty; Falls Church, Mount Vernon, Lee, Annandale and Stuart are the five schools with the most poverty.  In terms of high-end property sales, however, there are five school districts with the lion's share;  Langley, McLean, Madison, Marshall and Oakton.  There's also another subset of schools with little poverty, but also few super-expensive neighborhoods, West Springfield being the prime example.

Marshall may roughly be in the middle of FCPS schools in terms of the percentage of lower-income students, but it's now 4 out of 25 in terms of the number of $1.0M-plus property sales.  West Potomac won't "become a Marshall in 10 years" unless Route 1 becomes another Tysons, and there's next to no prospect of that happening.   [/quote]

So yes, your data confirms with just a few exceptions the vast majority of high schools in fcps are highly affluent.

And to list those five schools as taking a "lion's share" of poor students is laughable.[/quote]

You can decide what makes a school "highly affluent," but I never said five schools have a "lion's share" of poor students.  I said the lion's share of high-end property sales over $1M can be found within the boundaries for five schools:  Langley, McLean, Madison, Marshall and Oakton.  There are 977 such transactions within the boundaries for those five schools, and 240 in the catchment areas for the 19 other high or secondary schools in the county combined.

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