Reply to CORONAVIRUS/COVID-19 NEW MEGA THREAD

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Very real question: Seattle is theoretically ~7 weeks into community spread.  Coastal cities should be into their outbreaks.  Shouldn't we already be seeing major increases in hospital admissions, ER visits, ICU overruns?  It isn't happening at this point.  The situation at the LTC facility has been an absolute nightmare - total hell.  But outside of that, are we seeing the doomsday scenario?  Should we take some comfort in the fact that this has not become a widespread disaster at this point?  Perhaps it simply isn't spreading here the way it has in Italy, or the strain has not been as lethal? [/quote]

Also agree. I've been telling myself over and over again in the past two weeks, keep an eye on Seattle and the numbers coming out of Seattle (and now New York). Outside the unfortunate nursing home, there seems to be minimal spread of the virus. Yes, numbers have gone up for positive cases, but there doesn't seem to be a rush to the hospitals for critical care. The virus exploded within that one nursing home, but outside that Seattle is not showing the Wuhan style mass explosion of infection and deaths. If anything, it's closer to South Korea, which had a lot of infected people (and high testing levels finding the infected people) but very few deaths, around 54 out of 8000 infected.

Likewise, in NYC, the virus has been spreading but the numbers of deaths is still zero and very few people have been hospitalized. I can't believe the unfortunate man was just the first man to catch the virus  and there must have been others.

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Apparently public health models show 2 weeks it will be really bad here.[/quote]

And in two weeks' time people will be saying two more weeks till it gets really bad. And then when that two weeks is up, people will still be saying just two more weeks.

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Nah, in two weeks we will know either way.[/quote]

Probably.

My money is on lots of infected cases reported but low rates of hospitalization and deaths, more like South Korea than Italy. [/quote]

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