Reply to CORONAVIRUS/COVID-19 NEW MEGA THREAD

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[quote=Anonymous][quote][quote] Very real question: Seattle is theoretically ~7 weeks into community spread. Coastal cities should be into their outbreaks. Shouldn't we already be seeing major increases in hospital admissions, ER visits, ICU overruns? It isn't happening at this point. The situation at the LTC facility has been an absolute nightmare - total hell. But outside of that, are we seeing the doomsday scenario? Should we take some comfort in the fact that this has not become a widespread disaster at this point? Perhaps it simply isn't spreading here the way it has in Italy, or the strain has not been as lethal? [/quote]

Another possibility is that [b]community spread has been going on for a long time under the radar in Italy [/b]as well. Perhaps even longer than it has in Seattle. Then they finally reached a critical mass, and we are not quite there yet.

I like your scenario a lot better, though. We can hope. [/quote]

From all the analyses I have seen, this is the reason identified.  I have also seen mention that Italy is one of the world's "oldest" populations, potentially raising the fatality rate above that of a more "average" country.

My utterly unscientific theory is to wonder whether the U.S.'s car culture--while usually abysmal for health--may actually be somewhat helpful for containment.  China & Europe are so reliant on public transit (which I typically love), but there was some graphic from China about how a single positive corona case was traced back to infecting 10+ people on his bus.  We'll all die of heart disease and obesity over here because we drive everywhere, but perhaps it might slow down community transmission![/quote]

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