Reply to CORONAVIRUS/COVID-19 NEW MEGA THREAD

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[quote=Anonymous]Connor Reed, a 25 year old British guy who teaches English in Wuhan had symptoms starting on November 25th. That means he was infected before that. He wasn't given confirmation that what he had been sick with was COVID 19 until January 16th.

Obviously he wasn't patient zero and so there were other circulating cases in November. Travel restrictions weren't put in place until late January in China. So for at least two months, people from Wuhan who had either been infected or in close contact with those infected would have been traveling and circulating with others who were traveling as normal.

I wonder if there are different strains of the virus and some are more infectious than others. It seems Italy and Iran and South Korea have been hit the hardest. You would expect that what happened there would have already happened in other places as well but it hasn't to date. Why did it grow so quickly in those three places but no where else? With international travel, the virus would have been brought to most countries at the same time. Everywhere else has cases or very small clusters (like the Washington LTC) but there hasn't been a massive outbreak despite little being done in many places to prevent it. And given the 20% hospitalization rate and the obvious visibility of it when an explosion happens, there is no way the same strain has just been circulating unnoticed. If you look at Italy, this isn't something that can go unnoticed.

It isn't clear why a few places have been hit much harder. That is why I wonder if there are different strains and some are more infectious than others. [/quote]

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