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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Current Projections on a State Championship --  takes into account path through Regionals & States.    This is not a ranking of the top 7 in order.

For entertainment purposes (i.e. not slamming anyone)

1)   Battlefield      25%    4:1     ---    Path secure to State Final.   Proven they can compete with Fairfax/Arlington teams.
2)   Oakton          20%    5:1     ----  Hard to pass up these odds and looks low. 
3)   Madison        17%     6:1     ---    Should meet Oakton a 3rd time in Regional Finals.  Expect a great game!!
4)   Robinson       12%     8.5:1   --    Favorite to advance to States but has to get past Woodson or West Potomac
5)   Woodson       10%    10:1      --    Too high -- or just right?
6)   Centreville      8%     12.5:1   --    At one point ranked #1.   Very talented team that may be getting overlooked
7)   West Potomac  5%    20:1      --    Some people on the this board are taking these odds
8)  The Field          3%     33:1    &lt;Langley, Yorktown, South Lakes, West Springfield&gt;
[/quote]

This probably a fair assessment currently.  The problem teams 2-12 (including the "field" in there) is that only 4 of the 10 even make the state quarterfinal, so even a favorite may have multiple chances to lose against another good team on an off night.  For example, hypothetically Oakton may have to beat South Lakes and Yorktown to just make states, and then beat Robinson and Madison, just to play Battlefield.  The Cougars may be bad*ss this year, but that's a tough road with no breaks or room for error.[/quote]

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