Reply to CORONAVIRUS/COVID-19 NEW MEGA THREAD

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Honestly, how scared should I be right now?  What is the likelihood that I will get this virus?  What is the likelihood that I will die?[/quote]

It's about distancing people from each other by quarantines and closures so that we can slow the rate of transmission down enough that hospitals won't be deluged in cases. If they are, seriously ill patients will die from lack of medical attention, like they're doing right now in northern Italy, and like they did in Wuhan. If hospitals don't have enough beds or personnel or equipment during the surge, people who shouldn't have died in the normal course of events WILL DIE from lack of adequate healthcare. It could be you or me, it will most likely be those who are most at-risk, as well as some unlucky healthy and younger patients who lie forgotten in some hospital corridor.

Virology explanation:
This is a new virus that just jumped the species barrier and as a result is not adapted to humans. Because of that it's more likely to kill its host or make it very ill, instead of living quietly and replicating. The consequence is that there is a characteristic spike in cases, like for all pandemics (that are all due to new strains maladapted to humans). THE SPIKE IS WHAT'S LETHAL TO THE COMMUNITY. Healthcare system are not made to receive so many patients at once, and they break down from over-solicitation. This will happen if we don't implement closures right now.

I hope you understand.

- microbiologist[/quote]

closures of what?[/quote]

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