Reply to 26-27 Lottery data up

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]So if i follow coreectly, at this point the acceptable charter middle/high schools are both Latins, Basis (sort of), DCI, Inspired (ms only), Truth (sort of, and hs is brand new). No one has locked in feeder rights now that DCI feeders are large.

So everyone's in the same boat, with DCI feeders having a leg up but no longer guaranteed.

What a mess.[/quote]

Agreed. What happens to all of those kids when the leg up doesn’t work out? Maybe some have an acceptable IB middle school, but most of the families we know are IB for MacFarland or Brookland middle school. If they have a bad enough number to get waitlisted at DCI, is SH, EH, or any of the other “middle tier”schools an option? [/quote]

I mean, despite the "middle tier" rhetoric, [b]Stuart Hobson is harder to get into than BASIS[/b] recently, so no... the few kids not getting into DCI aren't getting a top 1/3rd lottery number as SH requires. EH maybe, but trending in the direction of harder to get into, so I wouldn't count on it. Jefferson seems to be the best bet?[/quote]

Silly statement. You cannot compare the difficulty of matching between a DCPS boundary school and any charter. SH is a 100% chance if you are IB. Latin and BASIS are what they are.

There's a lot of data and reasonable conclusions to draw. Yours just isn't omne of them.[/quote]

What? PP is obviously talking about entry in the lottery given the context and is correct. It’s not a knock on anyone to say that SH has fewer lottery spots than BASIS and a smaller percentage of applicants get in. In any case, it is clearly true that that handful of kids with bad enough numbers not to lottery in DCI from a feeder arent getting into SH via the lottery, which is the actual point in context.[/quote]

Well, you could look at how no-preference applicants do. I'm using last year's data just because it's a bigger data set. Still, it'll be a 5th-to-6th comparison so not very consistent.

SH: 50 seats offered, 42 no preference matches, 108 on the waitlist. Three offers total. Assuming all the waitlist kids are no preference, that's (42+3)/(42+108), which is 36%.

BASIS: 140 seats offered, 96 no preference matches plus 10 EA matches, 290 on the waitlist. I believe all EA kids are on the main waitlist too. Then 9 EA offers and 93 main waitlist offers. (96+10+9+93)/(96+10+290)=53%. Check my math but I think SH is the harder get. Despite its lack of a good high school! This year BASIS has a shorter waitlist (220) and SH has a longer waitlist (145) but offered fewer seats (40). Make of that what you will.[/quote]

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