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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Some factors are: the crumbling of TR and CMI (or, people's willingness to acknowledge it), so more people  there are lotterying. No longer having a guarantee at DCI means those families are lotterying. Stuart-Hobson is no longer as easy to get into. So people are making longer lottery lists because they're scared.[/quote]

Longer lists is probably part of it, but the number of unique 5th grade applicants has been on an upward trend over the past three years, so I would expect that’s part of it as well. [/quote]

I'm curious about this as well. Are there numbers available yet on the number of unique applicants per grade this year? If this year's rising fifth graders don't have a DCI guarantee and SH isn't taking as many OOB students as it used to, families may be hedging their bets and applying for Latin and Basis for fifth instead of putting all of their stakes on a good enough lottery number for sixth.[/quote]

[b]I think most rising 5th graders have a DCI guarantee. I can't think of a feeder that has a bigger 4th class than spots.[/b][/quote]

That may be true now, but most of the DCI feeders are dramatically increasing the size of their primary classes and, when pushed, are acknowledging that this means that there will not be a guarantee for kids entering PK3, PK4, K, or even 1st (at some of the schools) right now. At YY, for example, they told us that kids have lots of middle school options and that because "many" kids will choose to go to MS like Latin or BASIS, there should be enough spaces at DCI available for those kids that want to go there, even when the grades start with 100 students (as they will soon at YY), but that is far from a guarantee and also not reflective of the current reality w/r/t the number of kids waitlisted at MS like Latin and BASIS this year. 
[/quote]

MV sent a letter recently saying there will be more kids than spots for the current 4th graders-- 70 spots and 100 kids. So even assuming not everyone applies to DCI, not everyone who applies matches or enrolls, and some kids peel off for Latin and Basis in 5th, it's possible someone could be shut out of DCI. Depending on whether the other Spanish member schools use their full allocation of seats, as well. So it's a really hard thing to predict. But it's not some vague future hypothetical-- for MV and Stokes it's happening now.

https://drive.google.com/file/d/1k90Y1NiPfpaGHYuHLAHIdgZA79KiNfLE/view[/quote]

Wow, and what they don’t say is that about 2/3 of kids have sibling preference, so that really means the 33 kids without preference are fighting for the remaining less five seats. [/quote]

yup - it's the sibling preference on top of the feeder preference that stood out to me.  especially because it appears to work in both directions (meaning with both older siblings already at DCI and younger siblings at a feeder).[/quote]

MSDC says the sibling feeder preference doesn’t apply to sixth grade.[/quote]

That's not what the MV letter says though.  So which is it?

Also - the current 4th grade class at LAMB definitely has more than 50 kids right now (and only 50 spots).  The numbers are close enough that it will be fine for the LAMB families - a few kids will go to BASIS or Latin, and some of them might not continue to DCI for other reasons, but it's foolish for families at other schools to count on the "LAMB spots" to help make up any difference.  It's going to be a couple of spots that LAMB has "available" to share with other feeder schools.[/quote]

It's MSDC and DCI, not MV, since they are the ones applying the preference to their applicants. But I don't see where it says that in the letter, unless I'm missing something?

[i]For 2025-26 school year, we anticipate approximately 100 Mundo Verde 5th graders/rising 6th graders [b]expressing interest in DCI[/b], while we have only 70 allocated spots.
The allocation of those 70 spots will be done through the My School DC DCI Member Lottery. That lottery has a sibling preference, so that [b]families with a sibling already at DCI[/b] will get preference.[/i]

I see two things here. First, they're not saying there will be 100 total kids, they're saying they anticipate 100 kids applying to DCI. Above they say that 85-90% of fifth graders choose DCI, so presumably their anticipated 100 kids is 85-90% of the actual number of fifth graders that year. That means that families shouldn't count on the odds being slightly better because some kids will go elsewhere because the numbers they offer already include that attrition. Second, it only says families with a sibling already at DCI, not already at DCI OR a feeder school. Looking at the Tableau site, it looks like that preference applied in 23-24 (with 19 sibling attending, 21 sibling attending across LEA, and 26 no preference) but not in 24-25 (with only 8 sibling attending and 46 no preference). That 8 is odd because prior years had 19, 29, 17 siblings attending. Maybe because 24-25 was the first expansion year and there was a large influx of new families? I'm not going back in the MV data to count backwards, but I'm guessing that's a fluke and will go back to the prior averages next year or in a few years after the first expansion classes get through.[/quote]

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