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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]OP, what's the source of your data? Is that NMF destinations in 2022? There are some huge changes over 2021.

Here's a spreadsheet I found tracking data back to 1989.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/10mEvJutJsMyQC0V5MfMvwSuLD7bodTDcAWDPSNslvsA/edit#gid=181988488

There are three pieces of information I would *love* to have, if anyone has pointers.

1. Number of commended students by high school, because a) score cut-offs do vary for NMSF and b) NMSF is a small enough percentage that it gets kind of  streaky.

2. NMSF admits to colleges, which would bypass the  NMF gamesmenship.

3. All the above data for the ACT and the CLT both of whose providers are, as far as I can tell, more close-mouthed than the SAT. Or maybe I just don't know them well enough.[/quote]

There are some really interesting trends in here.  If the data is accurate.  Some of the patterns are so strange, I wonder if the data has any errors.  Can anyone look at their school and comment on changes in pattern over time?  To me, the Pitt and Penn State data look believable.  The UMD CP line shows an interesting increase in 2021.  I wonder if that measures any real phenomenon at the school.  And further wonder what went on in 2022 and 2023.[/quote]

You can have pretty wild changes in the space of a year due to changes in scholarship criteria, and but also data will skew for all sorts of other reasons in a medium term  - popularity of an exam in a particular state (number of NMSF per state is influenced by number of people taking the SAT), inflation eating away at the value of a college's scholarship offer, etc.

One of the most interesting things to me has been the slow but steady decline of Harvard - they've never offered scholarships themselves, and their home region is skewed to the SAT. But their number of finalists has gradually fallen from 455 in 2002 to 160 recently, via the hopefully accurate numbers at the start of the thread. I would like it to be due solely to people wising up about the academic value of a Harvard undergrad degree, but I suspect it's also that high performing Asians are increasing as a percentage of NMF, and Harvard limits their admissions.[/quote]

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