Reply to How is MCPS determining red, yellow, green?

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Maybe I missed this earlier in the thread - this percentage is reflective of a bunch of teachers and kids who may be back at school tomorrow (having completed their isolation over break).  Or they will return in the next few days - having exposed absolutely no one in school.  [/quote]

One would HOPE it reflects the % of the school population that will be infectious as of the next school day. But at the very least as of the day it's released. Although it's true some cases will fall off, given the trajectory of omicron it's much more likely those cases will be replaced and added to as every day passes. At least in the next week or two.[/quote]

I hope so but I’m skeptical about that. But even if kids are still finishing quarantine they should not be counted since they aren’t contributing to in school spread which is what the metric was originally supposed to be about. [/quote]

Personally-- and I'm the PP you're responding to-- I think it must be true, or is very likely to be true. I say this because our school sent us notifications of 6 staff positives over break and MCPS initially reported 2 staff positives for us on 1/1. So I was assuming that 4 had aged out of the count.

I disagree with your last sentence because the schools have to compare a rate they measured in the past to one they can measure now, and this is all they have. It's a proxy for very localized rates in the community. I mean, I don't think it's great either, but I think it makes a little more sense than trying to accurately divine actual spread within schools.[/quote]

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