Reply to I hope my kids and I get Covid this summer so we can be done with it before fall. Anyone else?

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Reply to "I hope my kids and I get Covid this summer so we can be done with it before fall. Anyone else? "

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]No, and here's why:

--The 1-3% chance of death.
--The high chance the suffering (feeling like you can't breath and taking months to recover).
--[b]The moderate (1/8) chance of hospitalization[/b]. I don't want to put myself, my family, or even my coworkers though that. Plus it's $$$.
--The almost certain chance that I will spread it to someone, and that will lead to the death and suffering of many more people and their families.

You're basically lighting a match and walking away by not making your best effort to contain this thing. What your "best effort" is not going to be the same for everyone. But it's certainly not hoping you get it.  [/quote]

Citation?[/quote]

Don'y you guys read the news? https://www.barrons.com/articles/u-s-coronavirus-hospitalizations-approach-30-here-are-the-latest-covid-19-data-51586175360 [/quote]

It's May 29 and you're citing an article from April 6?[/quote]

Because I don't feel like sitting here writing a research paper for you. Just Google it. There are literally thousands of articles citing these statistics. Look up your age. And figure it out. I'm 45.[/quote]

CDC's "Best guess" scenario for age 0-49 symptomatic cases is 1.7% with a range from 1.3%-2.6%. That's a serious level of risk for hospitalization, but not anywhere near 12.5% (1 in 8).

https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/hcp/planning-scenarios.html

[/quote]

Yeah but you also need to factor in that among those 1.7%, the vast majority have preexisting medical conditions.  The last figure I saw cited for this was around 90%.  So if you're not obese and have no health problems, your risk of being hospitalized is actually much lower than 1.7%.[/quote]

The CDC put out some really bad information, in my opinion. I don’t know where they’re getting it, by I have obsessively researched this since the Wuhan days, and their best guess scenarios make no sense to me. Especially for hospitalizations. I’m using the data I’ve read from all other corners of the universe to base my behaviors. I feel like I’m in the twilight zone. [/quote]

What are your best guess hospitalization and death rates?[/quote]

They’re up there above. I think the mortality rate is about 1-2% for everyone, and the hospitalization rate is about 10%. I’m basing the hospitalization rate on the numbers given for mild/moderate versus severe cases. The obvious question mark are asymptomatic cases, but even in Spain they only found antibodies in 5% of the population, which put the mortality rate over 1%. I think here in America the CDC is continuing to downplay the risk. I’m not a conspiracy type but I just can’t understand the data they’re putting up. I know of only 5 covid-positive people in my tangential circle: 1 is currently on a ventilator and undergoing dialysis (50 year old in Charlotte with autoimmune issues); one is a high risk (overweight, big drinker) 40 year old male who was hospitalized for 2 days and is doing well (Chicago); another is a 45-year-old make athlete  in great shape who was hospitalized for a week and is out but having lingering lung  and liver problems; and another is a 40-year-old woman in NY who was not hospitalized but had to go on an inhaler and antibiotics after still feeling like shit and sporting a fever after a month. Then I know a bunch of people who “think they had it.” Do I factor them in? The CDC probably is but I’m not. [/quote]

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