Toggle navigation
Toggle navigation
Home
DCUM Forums
Nanny Forums
Events
About DCUM
Advertising
Search
Recent Topics
Hottest Topics
FAQs and Guidelines
Privacy Policy
Your current identity is: Anonymous
Login
Preview
Subject:
Forum Index
»
Off-Topic
Reply to "I am a earthquake seismologist. AMA. 5th anniversary of Louisa Quake"
Subject:
Emoticons
More smilies
Text Color:
Default
Dark Red
Red
Orange
Brown
Yellow
Green
Olive
Cyan
Blue
Dark Blue
Violet
White
Black
Font:
Very Small
Small
Normal
Big
Giant
Close Marks
[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Didn’t read the older parts of the thread, so may be addressed. What are the current odds of the big one in CA in the next 10 years? [/quote] Big one as being the Magnitude 8 on the San Andreas? The one with 10 m of rupture? That event occurs approximately every 200-300 years. So, in a 10 year span, it is about 5%; maybe a little higher, because it has been about 170 years since the last one. What we have learned is the only threat is not the big one, but the pretty big ones, like the one last night. Fortunately, that occurred in the middle of nowhere. If an earthquake like that occurred in a city, it would be bad. And similar earthquakes have occurred on the Hayward fault (NoCal/Bay Area), and So Cal (Northridge, Long Beach, San Fernando -- all populated today). Other examples in unpopulated areas are Landers (1992), Superstition Hills (1987 I think), Kern County (Bakersfield).[/quote]
Options
Disable HTML in this message
Disable BB Code in this message
Disable smilies in this message
Review message
Search
Recent Topics
Hottest Topics
