Reply to What do you expect from APS staff (option/neighborhood) on 4/30?

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[quote=Anonymous]Once again, the whole thing is such a farce and isn't really about the data they're analyzing. If you look at NW and were to recreate the table they used last time, it suggests a very different result. For those who haven't read it, they've dropped the "Growth" consideration and have added in things like proportion of economically disadvantaged students, transfer rates, accessibility via mass transit, but for more of them they don't really draw any conclusions and just say they need to look at them further. The only criteria for which they include hard analysis and recommendations of sites that are relevant to the NW schools are Walkers, Buses and Geography. It's worth noting that they have once again baked in the Geography exception for Nottingham under Walkers that they previously acknowledged was an error and pulled out. Whether this is because they were sloppy or because they were disingenuous when they pulled it out before is anyone's guess. For Buses, they made the list of schools that made the cut much shorter, so the school that actually made the cut got a check in my table. However, there was a clear break between schools needing 4 or fewer buses and schools needing 7 or more buses, so those that need 7 or more but didn't make the top three in the county were given a half check in my table. Here's the result:

Ashlawn gets a check for Geography, half a check for Buses, nothing for Walkers = 2.5
Barrett gets a check for Geography, nothing else = 1
Discovery gets half a check for Buses, nothing else = .5
Jamestown gets checks for Walkers and Buses, not for Geography = 2
McKinley gets a half check for Buses, nothing else = .5
Nottingham was given a check by the staff under Walkers again, but if they were to correct it the same way as last time would have zero checks: 1*
Tuckahoe was given no checks = 0

So even if you accept their Walker exception for Nottingham, that's only a 1-check school, while Ashlawn is a 2.5 and Jamestown is a 2. McKinley is really interesting, because even though it missed all of the check marks (save the .5 I gave them for buses), it falls just outside the top candidates in all three criteria. If you were to rank the schools in each criteria (1 being most favorable for neighborhood and 7 being most favorable for option) and then add up the scores across all three categories, here's where you end up, in ranked order by final score:

Ashlawn = 16
Jamestown = 15
McKinley = 15
Discovery = 11
Barrett = 9
Tuckahoe = 7
Nottingham = 6

So if you actually look at their data and criteria, the staff has pulled Nottingham out as a top candidate despite it actually being a really crappy candidate. Meanwhile, they've ignored Ashlawn, Jamestown and McKinley, all of which are are potentially strong candidates.

So yep, ATS to Nottingham.[/quote]

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