Reply to College Football--Big Ten Expansion

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]
I think only FSU is safe. All the other ACC teams may be stuck which they all are anyway until 2036. Uva and Unc have small alumni numbers, poor tv ratings and state political issues with larger schools in the same state. They definitely have less value than Stanford and the San Francisco/ No Cal market. Clemson splits a small state and has low alumni numbers. Maryland was the only school that is a solitary flagship in its state, inside the beltway of a huge media market and has huge alumni numbers. All the other schools besides FSU ( not the only school but an enormous state/population and large alumni numbers ) have issues.[/quote]

UNC is coveted by the Big Ten Conference as it gets the Big Ten into new recruiting territory, solid athletic department, excellent academics, and same viewership for football as Stanford, but much more popular in basketball.

Only a few insiders really know the Big Ten Conference's target schools in the ACC if the ACC breaks up. Possible ACC target schools include UNC, U Miami, FSU, Georgia Tech, & Virginia.[/quote]

UNC may be coveted by the Big Ten presidents but you have to keep in mind that FOX and ESPN are paying the bills for these conferences. FOX pays the bills for the BIG and wants to get into the southeast and wants football.  FSU will get an invite before UNC.

ESPN is handcuffed because of their financial problems.  They do not want to lose the ACC or the west coast entirely. They also do not want ND in the BIG.  ND wants more money and independence.  This is why ESPN and ND are trying to pair Cal and Stanford with the ACC, possibly even with SMU and/or even NAVY.  ND may even commit to more games in the ACC.

However, it is not going to be enough.

The GOR is not iron clad.  It will be messy and expensive.  FSU and others may not declare by August 15th but that will only be because they are getting a war chest together and to build legislative support for sovereign immunity legislation, etc.....

The critical date is to do it by 2026 when the football playoffs will be renegotiated and the money gap between the ACC and BIG/SEC grows substantially. It may even be beneficial to stay in the ACC for a couple of more years as it is a much easier path to the playoff.

Basketball does matter but not as much as football.  Once football is resolved they will turn their attention to taking basketball out of the hands of the NCAA. Why let the NCAA control and keep all that money?

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