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Lacrosse
Reply to "2025 Girls Lax WCAC + ISL Outlook"
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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]SSSAS has looked the best and been most consistent team in the ISL this season. Still have to play Visi next week, but they will be favored. Those are facts. [/quote] FYI - those "facts" are called opinions. [/quote] Are they now? Let's test that: Laxnumbers objective, math-based rating: 1. SSSAS - 92.77 (Plus head to head wins vs: SR and Potomac) 2. SR - 91.45 (Head to head losses vs: Potomac and SSSAS) 3. Potomac - 91.39 (Head to head win vs SR; Head to head loss: SSSAS) 4. Visi - 89.95 (No head to head results yet) 1.32 is a pretty big gap in the ratings math between 1st and 2nd; the other 3 are all within 0.5. Notably, lax numbers rating also has SSSAS above Good Counsel. [/quote] Why does anyone think laxnumbers rankings are realistic? Because it uses math? The math used is based on a strength of schedule that is opaque. Then adds it to a goal differential to come up with a ranking. Head to head doesn’t factor at all but how can it not? A team can go undefeated against a lot of great teams and win by two or three goals per game. This objective ranking can see another team with the same schedule lose to the other team and others but have several 6-7 goal wins. The math will favor the second team. I will always take the team who never loses and beat the other team over one that has lost head to head and any other game. [/quote]
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