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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Latest AZ polls from RCP. Notice the trend line. https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2022/senate/az/arizona-senate-masters-vs-kelly-7390.html#polls[/quote] Undecideds deciding and Republicans coming home. Will be interesting. Think Kelly wins handily. [/quote] Masters is clearly the underdog, but he has a few things going for him: favorable trend in narrowing the gap, potential Lake coat tails, gas at $4.50 in Nevada--up 30 cents from last week, and Peter Thiel money.[/quote] I don't know. This article in the WaPo shows that despite Masters keeping the polling race close, that there are still major hurdles that he is unlikely to overcome: [url]https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2022/10/05/arizona-poll-republican-candidates/[/url] [quote]A new CBS News/YouGov poll out of Arizona is one of the best distillations of this dynamic to date. It shows GOP Senate candidate Blake Masters, who has largely been abandoned by the GOP establishment, trailing Sen. Mark Kelly (D-Ariz.) by just three points, 51 percent to 48 percent. That’s a margin-of-error race, and it’s one of the closest polls to date (though a couple others have shown the race very close as well). So have voters suddenly warmed to Masters? Not really. Despite him being competitive with Kelly in the poll, it also shows 55 percent of Arizonans say Masters is “extreme” rather than “mainstream.” It also shows a whopping 63 percent say they dislike how Masters handles himself personally. And many Republicans share these views. About 3 in 10 (29 percent) say Masters is extreme, while 26 percent dislike him personally. But only 12 percent decline to support him. He gains the support of nearly 9 in 10 Republicans, including many who regard him as extreme and don’t like him. Masters is also polling competitively despite the alternative being quite a broadly acceptable candidate. The poll shows voters say they like Kelly personally by a 57-43 margin — including 24 percent of Republicans. Just 34 percent of voters regard him as extreme. And yet, the poll suggests, he might lose anyway. [/quote] [/quote] So, yes, Masters is the under dog. There is a debate tomorrow evening that may shed light on how this race advances.[/quote] Did anyone watch the debate? I think the strategy to paint Kelly as a Bernie-style liberal was weak, and unlikely to convince any voters. The abortion stuff was brutal. Masters kept trying to use the lie about 87,000 IRS agents. Does that lie actually work? Do people actually get upset at the thought of tax cheats getting caught?[/quote] Neither distinguished themselves on abortion. Kelly was weak on the border issue. Masters got in a zinger that electing Kelly would be electing a third senator from California. Overall [b]edge to Masters[/b] but unclear whom the debate will sway.[/quote] Everything I read said opposite. [/quote] You know the debate is on YouTube. You could actually form your own opinion by watching it yourself. Optics is everything in debates and it was not a good look for an older, disheveled Kelly to stand next to a much taller, better looking, younger guy. Stuff like this is why Nixon got beat by Kennedy. Optics and one liners win debates and Masters won in both categories by any reasonably nonpartisan standard. Kelly is going to lose this election by 3-5%. Bookmark this post.[/quote] If it's optics that matters, Masters comes off as a complete lunatic on the immigration questions and incredibly evasive over the abortion questions. [/quote] Optics doesn’t mean what you think it means. People are way more superficial than you think. Being good looking and younger and taller than your opponent counts for a lot more than you think it does.[/quote] Obviously. That's why we have the tall and pretty Senator Loeffler, instead of that short dumpy looking Warnock....[/quote] +1 And if we’re seriously just going by looks, Blake looks like a blend of Jared “I’m a real boy” Kushner/Skeletor/Graves disease. Handsome he is not. [/quote]
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