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[quote=Anonymous][b]Bottom Line Up Front[/b]

FCPS is conducting a major boundary review that would move 8,660 students under their current "Scenario 3" proposal. This affects roughly 5% of all district students and represents one of the largest boundary adjustments in recent years.
Timeline: We're in Phase 2 of a two-year process. Next major milestone is September 24, 2025 committee meeting, followed by community meetings in October.

[u][b]Schools Most Impacted[/b][/u]

Based on the official scorecard, here are the schools facing significant changes:
Major Enrollment Reductions:

[b]Bailey's Upper ES:[/b] -26% enrollment (Justice pyramid)
[b]Halley ES:[/b] -23% enrollment (South County pyramid)
[b]Pine Spring ES:[/b] -22% enrollment (Falls Church pyramid)
[b]Graham Road ES:[/b] -21% enrollment (Falls Church pyramid)
[b]Fort Hunt ES:[/b] -19% enrollment (West Potomac pyramid)

[u][b]Overcrowding Relief:[/b][/u]

[b]Pine Spring ES:[/b] 111% → 89% utilization
[b]McLean HS:[/b] 109% → 100% utilization
[b]Keene Mill ES:[/b] 107% → 92% utilization

[u][b]Schools Gaining Students:[/b][/u]

[b]London Towne ES:[/b] +8% enrollment
[b]Fairfax HS:[/b] +4% enrollment (now at 102% capacity - new concern)
[b]Lake Braddock HS & MS:[/b] +4% each

[u][b]Program Access Issues[/b][/u]

The biggest disruption isn't boundary changes - it's program access:

[b]2,252[/b] students lose FLES (Foreign Language Elementary) access
[b]787[/b] Special Education students affected
[b]512[/b] Full-Time AAP Center students impacted

FLES impact is massive because it's offered at only 40% of elementary schools, and boundary changes mean many kids will no longer attend FLES schools.

[u][b]Proximity Analysis[/b][/u]

Distance impacts are mixed:

[b]84%[/b] of moved students: Less than 1-mile change
[b]4,424[/b] students get closer to their school
[b]4,236[/b] students get farther from their school
[b]95[/b] students face 3+ mile increases (flagged for review)

[u][b]Red Flags and Concerns[/b][/u]

[b]Questionable Efficiency:[/b] Schools like Fort Hunt ES dropping to 64% utilization raises serious questions about resource allocation and planning logic.
[b]Program Disruption Priority:[/b] The district is prioritizing boundary "fixes" over maintaining program access, which may not align with family priorities.
[b]Advisory Committee Resistance:[/b] The committee is reportedly pushing back on major changes, preferring minimal disruption over comprehensive boundary optimization.
[b]Missing Information:[/b] The presentation materials to date lack crucial details about which specific neighborhoods and streets are affected.

[u][b]What's Still Unknown[/b][/u]

[b]Specific neighborhood impacts[/b] - which streets/communities are moving where
[b]Receiving school capacity[/b] - can schools absorb incoming students?
[b]Transportation details [/b]- actual driving distances vs. radius analysis
[b]Grandfathering policies[/b] - will current students finish at their schools?

[u][b]Process Moving Forward[/b][/u]

[b]Sept 24:[/b] Committee reviews final changes
[b]Oct 13-30:[/b] Community meetings
[b]Nov 12:[/b] Review community feedback
[b]Nov 24:[/b] Final committee recommendations
[b]Implementation:[/b] Likely fall 2026

[b]Hot Take[/b]
This boundary review affects thousands of families with mixed outcomes. While some overcrowded schools get relief, the changes create new inefficiencies and significant program access disruptions. The scale suggests this is more about comprehensive redistricting than targeted problem-solving.

[b]Key Question for Affected Families:[/b] Is your school on the target list? If so, start engaging in the community meeting process now, because these changes have major implications for your family's school experience and daily logistics.

The full scorecard and neighborhood-specific details should be available in the forthcoming separate analysis document but not provided to date.[/quote]

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