Reply to CORONAVIRUS/COVID-19 NEW MEGA THREAD

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]FWIW - Not trying to be a wise guy and did see the locked thread on this BUT heard from a credible medical professional in the infectious diseases space and she said she thought COVID 19 has been in the US since the late fall or early winter.  She felt there has been too much travel and it’s too contagious for it to have taken long.  Not sure what this means but she thinks it means that we need to wash our hands and stay smart but that we are already “in it” and need to carry on.  [/quote]

I actually believe this to be true. Remember all the 'we have an early flu season' and 'the vaccine is not well-matched', then 1/2 way into the season (I think when flu actually started in, in earnest) it WAS well-matched. Then there were comments about lots of 'false positives' on flu tests.[/quote]

That’s certainly possible but how do you explain that other countries’ hospitals and ICUs have been overwhelmed by this virus whereas our hospitals are business as usual?[/quote]

In terms of countries it's Italy and Iran that seem to show signs of being overwhelmed. The other EU countries (which can have even higher numbers of positive cases than the US) aren't showing signs of being overwhelmed. Yet. Nor was South Korea.

We aren't seeing a mass rise of critical care at hospitals. Yet. I take some comfort in that there's been time for it to appear in Seattle and NYC, where the virus first recorded its appearance in the US, but even there it hasn't become pandemic. Yet. Most of the WA state deaths are from the same nursing home, which is very unfortunate. Based on what I'm seeing so far is that we'll end up with a situation similar to South Korea. Rising numbers of infections but low hospitalization and death rates. And South Korea is starting to express hope that the virus has peaked there. [/quote]

Hospitals in Italy and South Korea have been overwhelmed. Not sure why you think it would be different in the US.

https://www.npr.org/2020/03/07/813191526/in-daegu-coronavirus-leaves-city-a-shadow-of-its-usual-bustling-self

https://www.wsj.com/articles/not-enough-doctors-in-daegu-as-virus-cases-rise-south-koreas-response-is-criticized-11582547600

https://uk.reuters.com/article/uk-health-coronavirus-southkorea/thousands-wait-for-hospital-beds-in-south-korea-as-coronavirus-cases-surge-idUKKBN20R05F?feedType=RSS&feedName=topNews

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