Reply to CORONAVIRUS/COVID-19 NEW MEGA THREAD

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]I can tell that people feel very passionately about this issue on both sides of the coin (relax, no risk vs. hunker down as much as possible).  I have started taking some steps to prepare and cut back exposure to large crowds, but also haven't cancelled our spring break travel plans.  So, I have a question for epidemiologists and others who have spent more time reading up on COVID-19.  (And I really want to ask a question, not start a fight.)  Should I be viewing this differently than, say, an aggressive flu year when we know that the vaccine was not well matched?   [/quote]

This is worse than a bad flu year. Unless and until we get more data that lowers the case fatality rate of COVID-19 (estimated at 1-2%), this outbreak/pandemic will be far worse than a bad flu year with a mismatched vaccine. Look at the 2009H1N1 influenza pandemic. No vaccine initially and a case fatality rate of .01-.08. I'm hoping once we really start testing we'll see a huge portion of mild/moderate cases bringing down the fatality rate, but we just haven't seen that yet.

I'm not high risk, but I'm not traveling if I don't absolutely have to. My husband works remote already but I've asked him to consider actually staying home vs going to coffee shops. I'm mostly worried about my parents who are elderly, one with asthma. Schools the next town over from us closed today and one will be closed for two weeks. I'm not mad at it. My child is still in school but I'm anticipating more closures, mostly because now there's a precedent in our area.

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