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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]From a recent article in the Economist (Why child prodigies rarely become elite performers):

"The adult superstars also had a reliably different approach to their fields from that of the child prodigies, in that they seemed to maintain interests besides the one in which they eventually became elite... Nobel-prizewinning scientists were less likely to have won academic scholarships than those nominated for a Nobel who did not win. They also took longer to reach senior academic positions, had less impressive early publication records, and maintained interest in fields beyond that for which they won their prize."

It is yet to be seen whether "well-roundedness" will overtake "one-sidedness" in college admission preferences. [/quote]

Some important counter-examples: chess (all top players elite as children), early-peaking sports (figure skating, gymnastics), piano/violin (all top performers start very early and need to be remarkably dedicated throughout childhood).  I think nuance is important here -- e.g. even if math Olympiad winners may not overlap fully with elite adult mathematicians, as a group they are probably overwhelmingly successful in whatever professional paths they pursue.[/quote]

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