Reply to Time to Stop Counting on Charters

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][b]Where do you get your 90% stat? [/b]And for the last couple of years every house on my Petworth street has sold within a week of going on the market. Not too worried about that, especially considering my house has appreciated 300% since purchasing it a decade ago. Anyway, please do gather your troops and take over your local school to improve it...you're in for a rude awakening. Just check out the thread about Payne Elementary and what happened when too many middle class families showed an interest...you'll spin your wheels and realize that your child's childhood is over. [/quote]

[b]I am making the stat up, but going with the fact that this year there were thousands of families that applied for the popular charters and only a handful, mostly those who already have siblings in the school, who will get in.[/b]  I understand that TODAY most people who have kids in those areas were able to get in to charters in the past, but the situation has changed and those with kids younger are not getting in.  And yes, the housing market it hot NOW, but once people learn that charters are no longer a realistic option, do you think as many families will flock to these neighborhoods?[/quote]

It doesn't sound like you are clear on the definition of "fact"  ;)  (And while we're at it, the plural of "anecdote" is not "data")

Before everybody flips out that "thousands of families" applied and "only a handful" will get in let's dial back the hysteria and look at hard numbers.  Does someone have a census number for babies born 3 years ago?  Something to compare to, say, 5 or 6 years ago?  Bear in mind that even though there are a couple thousand names on a WL (a la 2 Rivers) those same names will be on LOTS of different WLs, both DCPS and PCS and all the way from PS3 to 12 (which covers 15 grades).  So far, there's nothing convincing to suggest that this lottery season is any different from any other.[/quote]

There may not be more children than there were two years ago, but with WOTP families choosing to go to DCPS at a higher rate than they used to, and with many of the newer charters now offering their slots to mostly siblings, families definitely have fewer choices than they did even a year or two ago.   Most of the WOTP schools now are totally IB for pre-k, unlike just 2-3 years ago when you at least had a chance to get in OOB at Ross, Stoddert, Hyde, Murch, or Eaton.  Those schools are pretty much all IB now at the lower grades, so EOTP families don't have those as an option anymore.

I am not a demographer, nor am I an expert on DC school statistics.  Yes I realize this is anecdotal.  But I do know that I applied for preschools 2 years ago when Mundo Verde was brand new so all of the spots were open.  There were about 250 on the wait list and 30+ got in.  This year there are over 500 on the wait list and the only kids that got in were siblings.  The same has happened at other schools.  You cannot deny that things feel different this year. [/quote]

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