Reply to Elrich leads Blair by 6 points according to a new poll

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]https://twitter.com/DataProgress/status/1548012096096391168

For reference... Riemer places a distant third at 20%[/quote]
Among people who have already voted, Elrich has a bigger lead.

Elrich: 39
Blair: 35
Riemer: 26

It is completely obvious that Riemer is playing the spoiler here and intentionally so.[/quote]
Interesting that Elrich leads by 6 points among those who have already voted. Pretty consistent with the 6 point lead from prior polling. Makes sense that people who have not yet voted would probably trend against Elrich, but also makes sense that they would be less motivated to vote.
[/quote]

Really? I think the issue is not “less motivated to vote” but, rather that we plan to vote in person on the 19th. Why would you think this would trend against Elrich?  [/quote]

Personally, I think it's the COVID effect.   Why go to a public polling place if you can vote from home?    I don't think this is indicative of likelihood to vote. [/quote]

I think people are torn.  Not that I have specific concerns about Montgomery County, but many, especially older voters, are balancing their concern about COVID —with plans to vote by mail, with their desire to be as certain as possible that their ballots are registered— with plans to vote in person.  Also, since I’m assuming that mail-in ballots had to be requested in advance, there are many people who plan to vote that didn’t request ballots in advance for a rescheduled primary election.

I, too, don’t think it’s indicative of one’s likelihood of voting — and also doubt that there’s any correlation between voting in person and the candidate that they plan to vote for. I hope the PP who made the previous comments returns to share their thoughts on this. [/quote]

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