Reply to McKnight's discussion with health officer about in-person learning

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]In short, they've put metrics around when an individual school may move to 14 days of virtual, but no system wide closure.

Now the health dept guys is lecturing about hand-washing.[/quote]

Thank you for the summary, PP, which I really really hope is accurate![/quote]

The metrics are 5% or more unrelated cases within 14 days, or minimum of 10 in a classroom. Pretty reasonable I think. [/quote]

5% is huge. My son’s school has 2200 kids so they wait until they have 110 cases confirmed before doing anything. We know lots of kids at that point are carriers and a symptomatic so the number is really higher.  I bet they’ll be at the 5% after the holidays but have no idea because the reporting system is flawed.

They are basically saying that they are willing to sacrifice a certain number of lives before doing anything. It’s crazy. Our teacher shortages is about to get a lot worse too.

MCPS is acting like we live in some backward districts in Florida or Texas. 
[/quote]

I think a threshold of 110 cases in a 2,200 student high school is completely reasonable.

The teachers should be vaccinated and boostered. Everyone aged 16+ in high school should be vaccinated and either boostered or at low risk of severe disease. Everyone aged 5-11 should have just gotten vaccinated. Everyone aged 12-15 should be vaccinated and can be boostered if at high risk. So why are you talking about "sacrificing lives"?[/quote]

The problem is with the high contagiousness and short doubling time, if you let the numbers get to 100, the horse is out of the barn and probably far more are actually infected but not yet showing symptoms.  If Omicron has an R naught of between 3 and 6 and doubles every 2 days, and doesn’t show symptoms for, assume 4 days from exposure, even if we’re catching all the cases ( extremely unlikely), at the moment you hit 100 students testing positive, there are probably another hundred or more already infected.  [/quote]

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