Reply to Any other families finally had enough of DC?

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Well the population is now officially shrinking, per the census. [/quote]

Actually the population is up 14.6% since the last census.[/quote]
It shrank from the prior year estimate and I would be happy to wager that DC growth over the next decade will be easily surpassed by suburban growth.[/quote]

The correct way to say this is: "The 2020 Census population [i]count[/i] was smaller than the 2019 Census population [i]estimate[/i]."

Which has at least 4 possible explanations:

1. The 2020 Census population count is wrong (an undercount).
2. The 2019 Census population estimate is wrong (an overestimate).
3. Both are wrong (an undercount in 2020 AND an overestimate in 2019).
4. Neither are wrong, and the population really did shrink between 2019 and 2020.

The Census Bureau has said they don't know which explanation is correct. I'm assuming that the Census Bureau knows more about the Census data than you do.

Meanwhile, the 2020 Census population count is 14.6% greater than the 2010 Census population count, so: the DC population is officially [i]increasing[/i].[/quote]
Cool. Cool.

But, do you personally believe that YoY volatility w.r.t. population growth is impossible?
[/quote]

There is only one census and it takes place every ten years. The 2019 estimate is not the "Census."  The 2019 estimate is part of the annual American Community Survey. The Census and the American Community Survey use different methedology and can diverge. You cannot plot data from the Census and the American Community Survey on one graph and come to any meaningful conclusion. Do not worry, the 2020 data from the American Community Survey will be available in the Fall.[/quote]
You are not answering the question. The question is not about the census. The question is whether you believe that it is not possible for there to be YoY volatility in population.[/quote]

I'm the poster you initially posed this question to, and I already answered it -- yes, of course it's possible, but no, I don't think comparing the 2019 estimate to the 2020 count shows that it happened. But why is this somewhat hypothetical question more important to you than the specifics of D.C.'s population change?[/quote]

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